DraftKings Diary | Buys, Sells, and What to Look for on DraftKings Reignmakers for Super Bowl Sunday
In the DraftKings Diary, each week Lucky Trader's Jason Rouslin will walk through his buys, sells, and team lookahead to give you insights from an experienced DraftKings Reignmakers player.
Check out Jason's full portfolio with the Lucky Trader Reignmakers Portfolio Tool.
It all boils down to this! It’s the last weekend of football season, and those that planned, hypothesized, and crafted a portfolio around this outcome, will have a chance to win at least $10,000 and up to $100,000 this week. While optimal lineups are sure to have low serial combinations, getting unique by picking odd combinations with solid serial combinations will be one of a few strategies discussed in this article.
Conference Championships Diary
Interested in seeing what makes up the 1,500+ NFT card collection? Check it out here!
Conference Championships Top Lineup & Contest
Contest: CORE Fiat Frenzy | Sunday Slate
- QB: Patrick Mahomes
- RB: Miles Sanders
- WR: Ja'Marr Chase
- WR/TE: Travis Kelce
- Flex: Kenneth Gainwell
I paired Sanders with Kenneth Gainwell, thinking it could be a ground heavy game, and while Sanders worked out, Gainwell didn’t really, or at least not well enough to get into the top 20. Even pairing them with the other three studs in Chase, Kelce, and Mahomes, it was only good enough for 31st in the ELITE contest. Either way, the winning lineup had Marquez Valdes-Scantling in it, a player I could not have played.
The slate yielded just shy of $700, a solid return but not exactly what I hoped for.
Super Bowl Buys & Sells
For those deep into the Reignmakers game like me, the announcement of the craft and burn function is the pivotal next step in the game’s evolution. While we won’t get word on what exactly it will be until next week, we know that DraftKings will offer $100,000 in weekly prizes for the 2022 cards at the ELITE level and above.
How exactly that will be distributed is yet to be determined, but if it sets up like a Showdown slate for this year, it should have at least $5,000 to first at all three rarity tiers.
Since the utility of the cards will drop tremendously, it’s not something I want to go out and spend a ton of money on, but focusing on a few players with the slate-breaking ability and positive momentum heading into next year, could prove to be a profitable strategy. So, here are a few targets of mine for the week... as far as Super Bowl targets, find those in the next section.
At quarterback, there are three players I want to focus on, Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields, and Deshaun Watson. Lawrence and Fields will be entering their third year in the NFL, and both of them are coming off of a year in which they put up huge fantasy numbers and were vital to creating optimal lineups outside of the SuperStar QBs.
For Watson, it was clear that not playing in an NFL game for 18 months, or even practicing, created a ton of rust. But, with a clean slate heading into next year, and a full offseason, he should be able to return to the QB he was when he put up monster numbers with Houston. All of their ELITE cards are trading at or below $100 right now.
Super Bowl Targets & Strategy
I had planned for these two teams to be the last two standing or at least one of them. So, now translating the crafting part into contest success will ride on finding the balance between optimally projected lineups and trying to be unique simultaneously. Even with the planning, at the ELITE level, it’s likely optimal builds that include either QB at the SuperStar position with DeVonta Smith, A.J Brown, and Travis Kelce.
So, if you’ve got one of those types of lineups, definitely go ahead and enter it, but anything in the triple digits, it’s likely to be beaten by a better combination. I’ll go over the strategies I’ll be looking at to get unique and not worry too much about serial numbers.
First, let’s define the parameters I’ll be working within, starting with projected ownerships. In this setting, having two SuperStar quarterbacks on the slate likely means they’ll take up about 50 percent of the total ownership at the Captain’s position at each tier. They likely will have below 5 percent ownership in non-captains spots - at least, that’s been the trend with these players in Showdown formats.
Next up is Travis Kelce, who likely gets around 20 percent ownership at the Captain’s level and is likely the highest-owned player in every tier above CORE. As I already mentioned, most gamers put their quarterback in the Captain’s slot, so putting Kelce in that spot with one of those QBs is likely a great start in trying to become unique.
Brown is up next, as he’ll likely garner around 15 percent at the Captain’s slot and slot in right next to Kelce and Smith. With these five getting approximately 85 percent at the Captain’s slot, the remaining 15 percent will be split between Miles Sanders, Isiah Pacheco, Jerick McKinnon, Dallas Goedert, and the D/ST stacks.
Now that we’ve defined that, here is the next step in the strategy to try and find the right combinations. First, we’ll start by assuming Jalen Hurts is in the Captain’s spot in this lineup strategy and that he is the highest-scoring player on the slate. As we know, Hurts can get it done with both his arm and his legs; if he has a ceiling game, he will likely get at least one touchdown on the ground.
If that’s the case, it’s likely Sanders, who does most of his work on the ground, doesn’t have a ceiling game. So, just by process of elimination, I won’t pair Sanders with Hurts. However, staying in that backfield, I think it’s plausible that Gainwell could end up with a ceiling game in an event Hurts does, as he’s featured much more in the passing game than Sanders.
Plus, Gainwell had his highest snap count of the season last week, getting 40 percent of the snaps. Stacking Hurts and Gainwell should open up the lineup a bit and allow you to add Kelce from KC’s side. Now, if the serial numbers are still high, then getting unique by adding in Dallas Goedert instead of Smith/Brown or even going to Isiah Pacheco should remove a bit of worry about being beaten by a lower serial lineup.
Onto the other QB now, as Patrick Mahomes’s side sets up quite similarly to Hurts. Although Pacheco was featured quite a bit in the passing game in last week’s AFC Championship game, Clyde Edwards-Helaire was activated from the IR and is expected to play. That likely takes a few targets away from him, as Jerick McKinnon seems to be featured less and less as the season progresses. But, if I had to pair any of them up with Patrick, it would be McKinnon. So, the obvious one is to get at least one share of the Mahomes-Kelce combo.
I’ll also use Sanders with them, skipping out on the Philly WRs, and head to Goedert to try and differentiate with this set of cards. Other ways to get unique with Mahomes is to stack two of the three WRs on KC with him. If they play, fade Kelce, and add in a playmaker from Philly. If Philly is able to neutralize Kelce, then this strategy could prove to be pivotal.
That’ll leave about half the lineups without either SuperStar QB in them. The most obvious and duplicated will be Kelce, Brown, Smith, and Goedert, with Kelce at the helm. Mixing in players like Pacheco, Gainwell and Sanders and using someone other than Kelce at the Captain’s spot should be enough to get unique in the higher tiers.
That’s it for now! Good luck in the Super Bowl with all your DraftKings Reignmakers lineups!