DraftKings Reignmakers NFL Week Millionaire Maker: Thanksgiving Day Slate Breakdown
We're just under 24 hours away from the kickoff of the biggest slate of the season in the DraftKings NFL Rainmakers game. With approximately 75% of the total card supply now in circulation and lineups for tomorrow's contest practically confirmed, we're poised to delve into the slate, offering guidance on planning and preparing your lineups for a shot at the coveted $1 million first-place prize.
Our approach involves a thorough examination of each game, providing insights on potential game stacks based on different game outcomes. Our aim is to assist in building lineups that optimize your chances of success. Let's start this slate breakdown and go game by game.
Green Bay @ Detroit
The opening game of the slate, traditionally in Detroit, features a divisional matchup against Green Bay this year. The Lions have displayed their prowess, boasting a multifaceted offense capable of delivering significant fantasy numbers. At the forefront is Amon-Ra St. Brown, establishing himself as a standout wide receiver in the league. He's demonstrated the capacity to achieve ceiling-level performances, even when not paired with Jared Goff. Considering his fantasy output, deploying him in a full game stack or as a standalone player without anyone else from this game aligns with his potential.
However, unlike Brown, I believe for Sam Laporta to reach a ceiling game, Jared Goff would also have to perform at a high level; Laporta's overall production has dwindled, particularly with the return of Gibbs from injury and Williams from suspension. Their presence has potentially impacted Laporta's opportunities and overall output in recent games. If Gibbs and Brown underperform but Goff delivers an outstanding game, there's a chance that Williams and Laporta could benefit from his performance.
Shifting focus to Green Bay, offensive production is more distributed, though not as potent as the Lions'. AJ Dillon is likely to see more opportunities, but the question remains whether he can translate that into significant fantasy output. The receiver situation is unpredictable, with the primary targets each scoring between 10 and 15 points last week. In this scenario, playing Jordan Love without any of them might be the most optimal strategy if Green Bay's offense hits a peak performance.
Top 3 Against the Grain Stack Ideas:
- Goff Ceiling game w/ Jameson Williams and Sam Laporta
- Jordan Love by himself
- Amon Ra by himself or w/ Love.
Washington @ Dallas
The second of three divisional games features Washington against Dallas. Dallas arrives as one of the hottest teams in the NFL, excelling both offensively and defensively. Conversely, Washington struggles, particularly on the defensive end, making this matchup ripe for a high-scoring affair with Dallas likely taking an early lead and Washington possibly rallying with late touchdowns. While stacking Dak Prescott with CeeDee Lamb seems the obvious play, our Contest Predictor suggests that for the best lineup, it may require low serial numbers for both Dak and CeeDee if you are looking to build optimally for the slate. For a unique approach, consider pairing Dak with Brandin Cooks and Tony Pollard. This strategy could capitalize on TD variance, perhaps resulting in a receiving touchdown from Pollard. Players like Michael Gallup or Jake Furgeson, based on their usage, may not find themselves in the optimal lineup but could serve as viable additions for a decent chance at cashing.
On the Washington side, Brian Robinson emerges as a notable player, set to receive the bulk of the workload due to Antonio Gibson's injury. Despite not scoring a touchdown last week, he managed to post 20 points, making him a strong consideration for this week's optimal lineup. Additionally, Sam Howell has recently displayed the potential for ceiling games and could offer exposure to what's expected to be the highest-scoring game of the three, considering the over-under set at 48.5. Both Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson have demonstrated their ability to score 25+ points in recent games. Their trading at relatively low valuations based on projected points and expected lineup value makes them an intriguing option as well here in this second game.
Top 3 Against the Grain Game Stack Ideas:
- Howell with Brian Robinson + CeeDee & McLaurin or Dotson
- Prescott with Pollard & Cooks + Dotson/McLaurin
- Prescott with Robinson + CeeDee
San Fransisco @ Seattle
In the toughest divisional matchup of the Thanksgiving games, both teams, San Francisco and Seattle, vie for playoff spots in the NFC. San Francisco enters with momentum from consecutive wins after a rough stretch mid-season, while Seattle has fluctuated between good and poor performances throughout the season. Geno Smith, often average or slightly above this season, picked up an injury in their last game and faces the challenge of playing against one of the league's top defenses in San Francisco. Consequently, his cards are the most affordable among the quarterbacks on the slate. Rookie Zack Charbonnet gets a chance in the spotlight on Thanksgiving Day, stepping in for the injured Kenneth Walker. With the potential to contribute significantly, especially in pass-catching situations, Charbonnet emerges as an intriguing option for this late game.
Regarding the Seahawks' wide receivers, their targets tend to fluctuate between Tyler Lockett and Metcalf. Currently, the trend appears to favor Metcalf, as mirrored in the marketplace prices. Nonetheless, both Lockett and rookie Jaxson Smith Njigba present interesting options if Seattle needs to lean heavily on passing. They could serve as valuable additions to lineups, providing flexibility to swap out players for a more optimal lineup, enhancing the chance of cashing.
Shifting focus to San Francisco, the spotlight shines on Christian McCaffery in the primetime game. Alongside positional stars like Aiyuk, Samuel, Kittle, and QB Brock Purdy, these players have demonstrated ceiling-level performances this season and in their careers. However, due to their versatility, the prices for these five players are relatively high. Their potential in the game makes them intriguing choices, albeit with a premium price tag.
Top Stack Ideas:
- Purdy w/ Charbonnet & Samuel or Aiyuk – Love this stack, especially if Amon-Ra goes off in the first game and Goff doesn’t and using Amon Ra w/ the Purdy stack over McCaffery.
- Purdy w/McCaffery, Kittle & Metcalf- using four players from the lowest projected game likely gets unique enough, but allows for one other unique option from a prior game like Gibbs, Robinson or Pollard and use McCaffery in the flex.
- Purdy w/ Aijyuk & Lockett- Should be one of the lower-owned stacks within this game.
We’ve got you covered from all angles for the Holiday Millionaire Maker here at Lucky Trader, including our Contest Predictor tool, helping you see the potential EV of your lineup and what the best serial number combination of the lineup you are looking to enter might be! You can also join us for the rest of the NFL season at our Reignmaker Tier Subscription for just $200! A savings of over 30%.
Good luck this week!