Sorare MLB GW11 Breakdown | Atlanta Annihilation

Welcome to the Sorare MLB Game Week 11 Breakdown!

My goal for these slate breakdowns is to create an all-in-one place for users to get an overview of each Game Week and use that information to pinpoint marketplace inefficiencies and construct a winning team.

I will be focusing on the Limited tier cards when referencing market prices as this is where the majority of Sorare users will be playing, and where there is the most liquid market.

You can find my slate breakdowns every Monday and Friday of the MLB season here on Lucky Trader, or subscribe to my newsletter to get them in your inbox.

Let’s dive in!

⏪ Game Week Rewind

The other player to note here is rookie Bryce Miller who looked excellent in his start versus Oakland, recording 10 strikeouts and carrying a no-hitter into the sixth inning.

The only issue is we have to wait for his card to appear in the Sorare marketplace.

Kyle Finnegan led the way by making three appearances in a row within the Nationals’ four games in GW10. He earned two saves and one win in those outings against the Cubs.

It’s also worth noting that AJ Minter made three starts at closer for the Braves who played five games, although he is about to get replaced by Raisel Iglesias when he returns this weekend.

Lastly, Jason Adam made two appearances and struck out the side in both. He will be filling in for Pete Fairbanks who was just placed on the IL and could make for a nice short-term pickup.

 

The Braves took over the leaderboard in GW10 with FOUR players placing in the top five amongst hitters.

This was largely predictable though because they played five games, which was two more than the vast majority of teams.

Matt Olson also finished with 40, Austin Riley with 34, Michael Harris Jr. with 35, and Eddie Rosario with 34.

Never underestimate the power of extra games, especially when that team is the Atlanta Braves.

📋 Roster Movements

In:

Brandon Pfaadt - Called up to Dbacks from AAA, gave up 7 runs in debut vs TEX

Bryce Miller - Called up to Mariners from AA, struck out 10 A’s through 6 IP

Raisel Iglesias - Should rejoin Braves this weekend, will take over closer role

Antonio Senzatela - Returning from 15-day IL, will start vs. Mets on Friday

Out:

German Márquez - Will undergo Tommy John surgery, out for the season

Pete Fairbanks - Placed on 15-day IL with right forearm inflammation

🔎 Multi Game Monitor

All teams play three games!

⚾️ Pitching Primer

Starting pitching is really bad in GW11. The guys at the top in Gerrit Cole, Clayton Kershaw, and Julio Urias are all good plays, however each one has a poor matchup.

I’ll do my best to navigate this minefield.

Joe Ryan at CLE

I was surprised when I dug into Ryan’s numbers so far this year.

He’s 8th in K% (30.1%), 11th in xFIP (3.17) and he’s tied with deGrom and Kershaw with the lowest WHIP in the league.

Cleveland has second-worst in ISO (.111), third-worst in wOBA (.286) and tied with Detroit for the third-worst wRC+ (80).

The only thing holding this matchup back is that the Guardians don’t strike out much at all. They have the third-lowest mark at 19.9%.

Limited Price: ~$19

Gerrit Cole at TBR

The matchup stinks. The Rays are leading the MLB in ISO (.244), wOBA (.375), and wRC+ (147), but they do strikeout at a league-average rate (22.2%) and this is a great ballpark to pitch.

As far as pitchers to choose from in GW11, Cole has some of the best numbers available and I can see him having a surprise good outing here.

Just keep in mind the Rays have a tendency to make opposing pitchers look awful.

Limited Price: ~$60

Other Starters Include:

• Clayton Kershaw at SDP

• Kodai Senga vs COL

• Corbin Burnes at SFG

• Julio Urias at SDP

• Drew Rasmussen at NYY

• Hunter Greene vs CHW

• Christian Javier at SEA

Notable Pitchers NOT Starting In GW10:

Kevin Gausman, Justin Verlander, Eduardo Rodriguez, Grayson Rodriguez, Pablo Lopez, Wade Miley, George Kirby, Jesus Luzardo, Dylan Cease, Kyle Gibson, Nick Pivetta, Alek Manoah, Max Scherzer, Shane McClanahan, Kyle Wright, Marcus Stroman, Shane Bieber, Miles Mikolas, Shohei Ohtani, Logan Gilbert, Aaron Nola, Framber Valdez, Logan Webb, Andrew Heaney, Brandon Pfaadt

📞 Call To The Bullpen

My guy Nick (@nmitchell11) published a great article this week titled “Navigating the RP Wasteland”.

He made our lives easy by grouping RP options into different tiers.

 

When not deploying Spencer Strider in a great matchup, we want to focus on closers who’s team is favored, but not favored by too much.

A closer who’s team is favored at -125 is more optimal than if they were favored at -250, and elite closers who are heavy underdogs are less optimal than non-closer relievers who are favored in any capacity.

Using our new tiers list, I will pick out some closers who fulfill that criteria.

Vegas lines won’t be available for most games in the GW but we can use our best judgement.

Closer Options

• ~$36 Emmanuel Clase

• ~$24 Felix Bautista

• ~$16 Will Smith

• ~$14 Raisel Iglesias (Returning this week)

• ~$9 Kenley Jansen

• ~$8 Ryan Pressly

• ~$7 Carlos Estevez

• ~$3 Jason Adam (Filling in for Pete Fairbanks)

  

   

💰 Stacks

There isn’t one stack that stands out this week with every team playing three games and many games being played in pitcher-friendly ballparks.

Here are some of my favorites for GW11

Mets

The Mets draw a home series against the Rockies in GW11 and are slated to face Antonio Senzatela, Austin Gomber, and Ryan Feltner.

Senzatela will be making his season debut but he only had a 13% K-rate and 4.07 xFIP last year. Gomber and Feltner have both struggled mightily this year with 5.56 and 4.5 xFIPs, respectively.

The ballpark isn’t great, but this is a good offense facing a struggling pitching staff.

• ~$20 Brandon Nimmo

• ~$53 Fransisco Lindor

• ~$17 Jeff McNeil

• ~$83 Pete Alonso

• ~$3 Daniel Vogelbach

Red Sox

Boston will be leaving Fenway for their series against the Phillies, however, Citizens Bank Park is also above average in terms of offensive production.

Friday’s matchup vs. Zack Wheeler is tough, but the Sox will draw Bailey Falter and Taijuan Walker over the weekend. Both Falter and Walker have over a 4.50 xFIP and both struggle with homers. Falter has just a 16% strikeout rate, while Walker has a 22.5% walk-rate.

• ~$20 Alex Verdugo

• ~$38 Masataka Yoshida

• ~$8 Justin Turner

• ~$62 Rafael Devers

• ~$13 Jarren Duran

Reds

Alright hear me out. The Reds are tenth-worst in wOBA (.304), third-worst in ISO (.113), and fifth-worst in wRC+ (81).

BUT

This is the best ballpark for offense in GW10, the Reds will not face Dylan Cease, White Sox starters have the fifth-highest collective HR/9 (1.59), and the Reds all come cheap in Sorare.

A full-stack might not make sense but I love some of these guys for mini-stacks and cheap fill-ins.

• ~$12 Jonathan India

• ~$2 TJ Friedl

• ~$9 Spencer Steer

• ~$5 Tyler Stephenson

• ~$4 Jake Fraley

Other Stacks To Consider:

Phillies, Orioles, Braves, Blue Jays, Twins, Royals

Value Options (Under $20):

Middle Infielder:

• ~$11 Jonah Heim, $11 Brandon Drury, ~$17 Jeff McNeil, ~$9 Salvador Perez, ~$11 Daulton Varsho, $12 Jonathan India

Corner Infielder:

• ~$16 Christian Walker, ~$14 Ketel Marte, ~$11 Brandon Drury, ~$11 Joey Gallo, $12 Isaac Paredes

Outfielder:

• ~$13 Jarren Duran, $19 Brent Rooker, ~$17 Jeff McNeil, ~$16 Hunter Renfroe, ~14 Anthony Santander, ~$4 Jake Fraley

There you have it, the Sorare MLB Slate Breakdown for Game Week 11.

I will be releasing these every Monday and Friday prior to lineup lock to help you all with preparing for the slate and setting your teams.

I hope to see everyone at the top of the leaderboards.

Thanks for reading!