The Approach Set Update | Wells Fargo Championship

The Approach Set Update | Wells Fargo Championship
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The fifth and final drop for DraftKings Reignmakers PGA TOUR's newest card set has arrived. The set has experienced moderate success, with high demand for the lower-priced packs and less interest in the more expensive ones. DraftKings, however, auctioned off several unsold LEGENDARY tier cards from previous weeks. Though some were critical of this approach, the overall supply for the year was always known, and circulating the cards was part of the plan.

As we shift our focus to the Wells Fargo tournament, Rory Sabbatini and Rory McIlroy will be the set's main attractions. All of Sabbatini's cards will be allocated to this set, while the third-ranked golfer, McIlroy, will have his remaining 40% distributed. Sabbatini is the only Group 4 golfer with cards in this drop, providing excellent value for these packs.

In total, the set features 37 golfers this week. Besides Sabbatini, only three golfers—Jason Day, Adam Schenk, and C.T. Pan—belong to Group 3. The remaining golfers are from Group 1 or Group 2. Below is a list of all the golfers, along with the percentage chance of acquiring each golfer's card in these packs.

Golfers In This Drop

Here's the list of golfers and their respective chances of being found in the packs:

  • Rory Sabbatini: 18%
  • Rory McIlroy: 7%
  • Cameron Davis: 7%
  • Jason Day: 5%
  • Adam Schenk: 5%
  • C.T. Pan: 5%
  • K.H. Lee: 2%
  • Viktor Hovland: 2%
  • Justin Thomas: 2%
  • Cameron Young: 2%
  • Corey Conners: 2%
  • Brian Harman: 2%
  • Sepp Straka: 2%
  • Adam Scott: 2%
  • J.T. Poston: 2%
  • Alex Noren: 2%
  • Andrew Putnam: 2%
  • Emiliano Grillo: 2%
  • Chez Reavie: 2%
  • Alex Smalley: 2%
  • Lucas Glover: 2%
  • Tyrrell Hatton: 2%
  • Keegan Bradley: 2%
  • Shane Lowry: 2%
  • Tommy Fleetwood: 2%
  • Chris Kirk: 2%
  • Seamus Power: 2%
  • Matt Kuchar: 2%
  • Mackenzie Hughes: 2%
  • Denny McCarthy: 2%
  • Davis Riley: 2%
  • Adam Hadwin: 2%
  • J.J. Spaun: 2%
  • Trey Mullinax: 2%
  • Troy Merritt: 2%

In summary, these packs offer a greater than 20% chance of obtaining at least one golfer who is likely to qualify for the Tour Championship and be among the top 20 best players to own. Apart from Sabbatini, who will likely appear in every pack, the remaining cards hold significant utility. Most, if not all, of these golfers are expected to qualify for the season's elevated events, excluding the Major Championships.

When pulling any of the top 20 ranked golfers at the rarity tier of the purchased pack, the value should be at least breakeven, based on current market prices, or close to it. This creates substantial positive expected value (+EV) for these packs. If you have a Green Pass, take advantage of the pre-access feature this week. The secondary value of these packs is likely close to double the drop price. If Sabbatini were not part of the set, the value would likely be about four times the drop price, similar to the set from The Masters.


Disclaimer: The author or members of the Lucky Trader staff may own NFTs discussed in this post. Furthermore, the information contained on this website or the Lucky Trader mobile application is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as financial advice. AI may have assisted in the creation of this content.